Forecasting Stock Prices Using ARIMA Model

Forecasting Stock Prices Using ARIMA Model

By José Carlos Gonzáles Tanaka Prerequisites This blog is a hands-on tutorial that walks you through the math behind the ARIMA model and how to implement it as a backtesting strategy for stock trading. You’ll not only learn how to apply ARIMA models but also how to enhance your results with advanced concepts and references. … Read more

US stock market: bad news fully priced in – Forecasts – 1 April 2025

US stock market: bad news fully priced in - Forecasts - 1 April 2025

The S&P 500 had its worst quarter in three years. Investors are shifting capital from North America to Europe. Once-booming US tech stocks have collapsed. Major banks and respected institutions are raising the odds of a recession for the American economy. That’s a lot of bad news for a broad stock index, isn’t it? However, … Read more

Learn Its Parameters, Forecasting Stock Prices in R, and Backtesting Strategies

Learn Its Parameters, Forecasting Stock Prices in R, and Backtesting Strategies

By José Carlos Gonzáles Tanaka The ARFIMA model is well suited for capturing long-range memory in financial time series. However, it’s not always the case the time series exhibits long memory in their autocorrelation. The ARTFIMA model comes to the rescue to capture not only the long memory but also its short one and the … Read more

Implement Walk-Forward Optimization with XGBoost for Stock Price Prediction in Python

Implement Walk-Forward Optimization with XGBoost for Stock Price Prediction in Python

By Ajay Pawar Have you ever noticed how a model that once predicted stock prices with pinpoint accuracy suddenly starts missing the mark? This isn’t just bad luck—it’s often the result of concept drift or model drift, common challenges in the ever-evolving world of quantitative finance. Financial markets are anything but static; their dynamic nature … Read more

Why You Should Automate Your Stock Trading

Why You Should Automate Your Stock Trading

In the fast-paced world of finance, trading is becoming increasingly dynamic and complex. Despite having access to vast amounts of data and analytical tools, traders often make mistakes that can lead to significant losses. Automation is one of the most powerful solutions to minimize these errors. This article will look at 5 common trading mistakes … Read more

Using ChatGPT For Stock Trading: Ten Prompts for Traders

Using ChatGPT For Stock Trading: Ten Prompts for Traders

AI has surprised the world, revolutionizing numerous industries with its capabilities. For those who understand how to harness its power, there’s a significant potential to make a lot of money. AI bots such as ChatGPT can offer traders and investors a way to gain insights, compile data, and make informed decisions regarding stock trading and … Read more

Why Fundamental Analysis Matters For Stock Trading

Why Fundamental Analysis Matters For Stock Trading

This site heavily focuses on technical analysis, but through experience, I learned that a company’s fundamentals must be understood to properly access risk. The stronger the company is fundamentally the less risk there is when holding. Keep in mind the best trader out there: Warren Buffet, is famous for value investing, so it’s always good … Read more

Is Your Stock Trading Service Scamming You?

Is Your Stock Trading Service Scamming You?

The finance world is the most unethical/dishonest place (remember the economic collapse of 2008). Some of the dishonesty that accompanies subscription services is due to competition. Each service has to do a “bit more” than competitors. It snowballs! People must advertise in “creative” (dishonest/misleading) ways to gather their followers’ attention. It is important to highlight … Read more