Fixed-Lot Recovery vs Martingale: Why Exponential Lot Doubling Ends in Disaster – My Trading – 15 July 2025

Fixed-Lot Recovery vs Martingale: Why Exponential Lot Doubling Ends in Disaster

95 % win-rate martingale looks brilliant—right up to the 7th red candle when your lot size is 32× the original. Fixed-lot recovery plays the same game—without Russian-roulette risk. 1 — The Seductive Math of Martingale Start at 0.01 lot Double after every loss: 0.01 → 0.02 → 0.04 → 0.08… One win recovers all losses … Read more

Spot Curve-Fitted EAs Fast — 3 Tests to Avoid Over-Optimisation Disaster – My Trading – 13 July 2025

Spot Curve-Fitted EAs Fast — 3 Tests to Avoid Over-Optimisation Disaster

That 99 % modelling-quality back-test might be a ticking time-bomb. Here’s how to defuse it in 15 minutes—before it blows a hole in your live account. 1 — Why Curve-Fitting Destroys Real-Money Performance Over-optimisation is the digital version of hindsight trading: you keep tweaking parameters until the past looks perfect. But the market never repeats … Read more